Tony Heaney, Senior Advisor, Environment Agency, UK
(free)The approach (part1)
• Use SIMCAT SAGIS models• Established pedigree
• Builds on UKWIR demonstration project• Likely substances
• Sanitary – ammonia
• Nutrient – phosphorus
• Chemicals – PFOS, cypermethrin, cadmium• Use Future Flows Hydrology• Data readily available
• Uses a pessimistic but realistic scenario equating to 3ºC increase• Consist of 11 equally likely ensembles
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